Is Real Estate a Bad Investment? Why It Might Erode Your Wealth
Apr 21, 2025
Why Real Estate Might Not Be the Best Wealth Vehicle (Unless You Do This)
For decades, people have believed that real estate is one of the safest, most reliable paths to wealth. Buy property, let it appreciate, and you’ll be a millionaire by the time you retire.
But when you really zoom out — and I mean 100-year timeframes — the story starts to shift.
Let’s dig into what most people don’t realize about real estate’s hidden costs, and why you might not be building wealth nearly as fast as you think — unless you approach it differently.
πΈ The Illusion of Appreciation: Let’s Talk Real Numbers
Let’s say you bought a $1,000,000 home in West Palm Beach or New York City — both areas known for strong historical appreciation.
Fast forward 100 years: that home is now worth $33,000,000. That sounds like an incredible return.
But here’s what’s really happening:
- That’s only a 7% compound annual growth rate
- And the U.S. dollar has been debasing at roughly 6–8% per year over that same time
So even though the number looks massive, your purchasing power hasn't really increased. In reality, the home has just kept up with inflation.
A $33M home in 2124 might buy you the same lifestyle that a $1M home bought you in 2024 — nothing more.
You didn’t multiply your wealth — you just preserved it. Barely.
ποΈ Real Estate’s Hidden Wealth Decay
Now let’s layer in the real erosion that compounds over time:
π Property Taxes (2% annually is typical in many states):
- $1M × 2% = $20,000/year
- Over 50 years = $1,000,000 paid in taxes
π§ Maintenance & Repairs (1–3% annually):
- Let’s estimate 2% for simplicity → $20,000/year
- Over 50 years = another $1,000,000 just to keep the place functioning
π Insurance, HOA, closing costs, capital expenses:
- Another $300K–$500K over time — minimum
Total decay over 50 years = $2.3M–$2.5M+ — just to maintain an asset that’s barely keeping up with inflation.
And we haven’t even talked about liquidity issues, market downturns, or rising tax assessments.
π How Real Estate Slowly Erodes Your Wealth
This isn't just theory — the numbers prove it.
Let’s look at what happens to your wealth when your property costs you just 2–4% of its value each year in taxes, maintenance, and insurance:
- πΈ At 2% loss per year → your wealth is cut in half in about 35 years
- πΈ At 4% loss per year → it takes just 18 years to lose half your value
That’s what we mean when we say real estate has a “half-life.” Unless the asset is producing enough cash flow to offset these losses, it’s bleeding you quietly — even while it looks good on paper.
Here’s a breakdown to help visualize it:
Real Estate’s Wealth Half-Life: How Long Before You Lose 50%
This makes it crystal clear how quickly your wealth erodes based on annual carrying costs:
-
1% cost → 72 years
-
2% cost → 36 years
-
3% cost → 24 years
-
4% cost → 18 years
-
5% cost → 14.4 years
β³ The Half-Life of Wealth in Real Estate
Here’s what I tell my clients:
If you buy a property in all cash and don’t turn it into a business, your money has a half-life of about 50 years — or less.
At just 2% property tax, you lose half your investment in about 35 years.
Add maintenance and inflation, and it happens even faster. Your wealth isn’t compounding — it’s eroding.
π§ Real Estate Only Works When You Turn It Into a Business
Here’s the real truth:
Real estate is only a wealth-building tool when you monetize it.
If you:
- Buy under market value
- Rent it out for consistent cash flow
- Leverage wisely
- Reinvest your profits
- Treat it like a business — with systems, reserves, and strategy…
Then yes — real estate can outperform almost anything else.
But that’s not passive investing. That’s running a company.
β οΈ Leverage Can Accelerate the Game — Or Break You
Let’s talk about leverage.
If you put $200,000 down on a $1M property, finance the rest, and the property grows to $33M over time — your equity ROI shoots to 11–13% or more annually, even after taxes and repairs.
But if:
- Rent doesn’t cover the mortgage…
- Interest rates spike…
- Vacancies hit…
- Major repairs pop up…
You can be in serious trouble fast.
Real estate is powerful if you treat it like a business. Dangerous if you treat it like a lottery ticket.
π§ My Bottom Line:
If you’re buying real estate just to park money and hope it appreciates, your dollars are slowly decaying year after year.
But if you monetize it, optimize it, and scale it like a business — you can build real, lasting wealth.
It’s not about the asset. It’s about the strategy behind it.
π Meet Shaun Surgener
I'm a multi-six-figure coach, real estate investor, and financial strategist who's helped hundreds of clients build real wealth — not just on paper, but in life. I specialize in coaching people to escape paycheck-to-paycheck cycles and step into lasting financial freedom.
I’ve personally built a 7-figure net worth through a combination of real estate, stock market investing, and crypto — and I teach others how to do the same using strategies that are simple, sustainable, and proven.
Whether you’re just getting started or looking to optimize your portfolio, I’m here to help you break out of outdated wealth advice and build something that actually lasts.
π₯ Explore my free resources here: shaunsurgener.com/free-resources
π Want to chat 1:1? Book a free strategy call: shaunsurgener.com/bookacall
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π£ Want to Learn How to Build Real Wealth in Today’s Economy?
Whether it’s strategic real estate, cash-flow stacking, or investing in tools that beat inflation — I help clients build true financial freedom.
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Download My Free Wealth-Building Guide
π www.shaunsurgener.com/free-resources
π Book a Free Strategy Call
π www.shaunsurgener.com/bookacall
Let’s stop watching money decay — and start compounding it with intention.
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